Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 2.209895 2.306192 2.405873 2.517057 2.637969 2.765884 2.911971
2025-11-16 2.000039 2.130971 2.271845 2.435726 2.622492 2.830394 3.081755
2025-11-23 1.867722 2.022922 2.195176 2.402693 2.648940 2.935892 3.301982
2025-11-30 1.775560 1.949673 2.148077 2.394495 2.697740 3.066558 3.562484
2025-12-07 1.687303 1.872849 2.088754 2.363645 2.712389 3.152535 3.773120
2025-12-14 1.597780 1.787905 2.012673 2.304384 2.683474 3.176512 3.899990
2025-12-21 1.551144 1.750952 1.991280 2.309866 2.735284 3.308203 4.190274
2025-12-28 1.522305 1.733334 1.991567 2.341351 2.821815 3.493482 4.584580
2026-01-04 1.468478 1.681528 1.945209 2.307554 2.814945 3.543010 4.772688
2026-01-11 1.437738 1.657032 1.932012 2.316295 2.866854 3.682329 5.128899
2026-01-18 1.416171 1.642885 1.930970 2.340607 2.941755 3.863151 5.590312
2026-01-25 1.370706 1.595910 1.884199 2.298148 2.914019 3.877030 5.743477
2026-02-01 1.317530 1.539463 1.825643 2.240569 2.866464 3.865319 5.870261
2026-02-08 1.274289 1.494878 1.781664 2.202065 2.846329 3.899274 6.103822
2026-02-15 1.243068 1.465105 1.756583 2.189510 2.865808 4.004152 6.520292
2026-02-22 1.218731 1.443536 1.741691 2.190811 2.907190 4.153286 7.087823
2026-03-01 1.188353 1.412706 1.712539 2.168980 2.908689 4.228738 7.502373
2026-03-08 1.151238 1.371569 1.667373 2.120556 2.862116 4.206599 7.652975
2026-03-15 1.133676 1.356460 1.658268 2.126549 2.907899 4.371403 8.398328
2026-03-22 1.123876 1.351542 1.663270 2.154329 2.993334 4.630169 9.581297
2026-03-29 1.097808 1.323264 1.633489 2.125646 2.975994 4.667985 10.040354
2026-04-05 1.083773 1.311290 1.626874 2.133382 3.024978 4.859431 11.213244
2026-04-12 1.074237 1.305250 1.628586 2.154417 3.100101 5.124611 12.964530